What democrat has the better shot of beating McCain this Fall? If Any? Who will win the electoral college map?

Either one of them will beat McCain. Whichever the nominee shall be, the electoral map should look something like this: The Democratic Candidate will win every state that Kerry won in 2004 and pick up Ohio (enough to win right there), Iowa, New Mexico, and possibly also Colorado, Nevada, and Nebraska. Clinton would have a better shot at winning Florida, but it's unlikely she would, McCain has the backing of a popular governor and Florida seems to be trending towards becoming a solid Red State. Pennsylvania will vote Democratic no matter what, and because of McCain's pro-Nafta and his "screw you" attitude towards the Rust Belt, Ohio should easily fall into the Democratic camp this time, and seems to be trending Democrat.